skip to Main Content

Key Findings Details

Earnings Growth versus Measures of Income and Education for Predicting Mortality
Harriet Duleep and David A. Jaeger
WP 2011-257

  • Earnings growth, measured over the entire career of individuals, appears to supersede income’s effect as a predictor of mortality.
  • Both education and earnings growth are useful for predicting mortality.
  • Earnings growth measured at the beginning of the working career appears to be a viable predictor of subsequent mortality.
  • The final result is of particular use in forecasting models that rely only on Social Security’s administrative record data since the administrative record data lack information on years of schooling.

Back To Top